Liebesgrüße aus der Kabadose
Unter Kollateralschäden versteht man gemeinhin, daß militärische Operationen zu unbeabsichtigten nichtmilitärischen Opfern führen. Daß es aber auch umgekehrt geht, zeigt uns der amerikanische Geheimdienstbericht über das angebliche Ende des iranischen Atomwaffenprogramms:
Prior to the issuance of the NIE, the Iranians had shifted some of their policies on Iraq. The decline in violence in Iraq is partly because of the surge, but it also is because Iran has cut back on some of the things it used to do, particularly supporting Shiite militias with weapons and money and urging them to attack Sunnis.
Attacks against U.S. troops in Iraq with bombs believed linked to Iran — known as explosively formed penetrators (EFPs) — have risen sharply in January after several months of decline, according to the top U.S. commander in Iraq.
Iraqi and U.S. officials indicated just a month ago that Iran was using its influence to improve security in Iraq by restraining cross-border weapons flow and militia activity. The U.S. military had said in recent months that the number of EFP attacks had gone down.
Gen. David Petraeus disclosed the reversal to reporters after a meeting with President Bush who was visiting troops in Kuwait.
„In this year, EFPs have gone up, actually, over the last 10 days by a factor of two or three, and frankly we’re trying to determine why that might be,“ Petraeus said.
Falls das NIE tatsächlich der naive Versuch eines Entgegenkommens gegenüber den Mullahs gewesen sein sollte, müßten selbst die gutgläubigsten Appeasementträumer begreifen, daß es wenig Sinn macht, jemandem den kleinen Finger zu reichen, der die ganze Hand nicht nehmen, sondern abhacken will.